Bud’s Bets is my column about college football gambling.
I’ve had a strong few years including 55 percent against the spread in 2019 with an ROI of 5.1 percent. I had a poor 2020 with my pre-game wagers, though did turn a profit with second-half and live wagers. Be sure to follow the Cover 3 Podcast for more breakdown of the picks.
My strategy has been pretty simple: Make my own numbers using a combination of public and private power ratings, plus my own manual adjustments based on personnel, injuries, and matchup knowledge.
With my numbers set, the next step is being ready to fire on Sunday when the numbers come out on Sunday or Monday. Betting before the professionals who want to wager tens of thousands per game is normally an advantage because I am getting in before the huge money comes in and moves the line. Lines tend to be sharper later in the week and most of my wagers are made early in the week.
Of course, if you’re trying to bet thousands of dollars on each game, the low limits (typically $250-1000 max bets per game) early in the week can be a hindrance, but I’m figuring most of my readership is playing $100 per game or less.
William Hill Sports Book is a reliable place to find odds.
Questions and live wagering
I’ll be answering any gambling related questions in the comment section throughout the week. Fire away. I’ll discuss games each week in the comment section of Bud’s Bets. I also post my live wagers and halftime wagers in the discussion section.
Overall: $3445, 13% ROI
Pre-Game ATS: 102-72 (59%), $2259, 12% ROI
Non-Spread/Alt: 3-5, $38, 4% ROI
In-game/live: 37-26, $1151, 12% ROI
Week 5 was an extremely profitable week, but it could have been even better if not for some late-game foolishness. Beating the number again remains the key.
New from the Opening Lines Cover 3 Live Show: Be sure to watch the show LIVE ON SUNDAYS to get the freshest picks.
Watch the video above for more detailed explanations of my wagers as they were made live, and be sure to join me each Sunday afternoon on the Cover 3 Youtube channel as I break down lines and announce my bets. Timestamps are in the video, above.
-Coastal Carolina at Arkansas State Under 72
-Houston at Tulane Under 64
-Charlotte at FIU +4.5
-Stanford at Arizona State Under 53.5
-Temple at Cincinnati Under 55
–Georgia Tech -2.5 (-113) at Duke
–Michigan State -3 (-116) at Rutgers
–New Mexico State +34.5 (-105) at Nevada
-Oklahoma at Texas Under 65.5
-Old Dominion at Marshall -19 (+100)
–Oregon State -2 at Washington State
-San Jose State at Colorado State Over 44.5
–South Alabama PK at Texas State
-TCU at Texas Tech Under 63.5
–Utah +4 at USC
-UTEP at Southern Miss -2 (+100)
-UTSA at WKU -2.5 (-105)
-UVA at Louisville Over 65.5
-Wyoming at Air Force Under 50.5
-UConn at UMass Over 54.5 (-111)
–Coastal Carolina -16.5 at Arkansas State. Grayson McCall is playing.
Thursday Cover 3 Locks Pod
This content was originally published here.